EEF Dota 2 Qualifier 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Северная Македонияwin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Косовоloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Северная Македония
No games played over 6 months.
Косово
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
652 picks · 516 bans
Marci
474 picks · 706 bans
Dawnbreaker
432 picks · 606 bans
Puck
424 picks · 884 bans
Winter Wyvern
341 picks · 418 bans
Zeus
291 picks · 391 bans
Death Prophet
284 picks · 474 bans
Razor
273 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Северная Македония
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Косово
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:35
Северная Македония 49%Косово 51%
The model gave 51% on Косово — the game was taken by Северная Македония in 37:30.
Game 2prediction missed13:34
Северная Македония 49%Косово 51%
The model gave 51% on Косово — the game was taken by Северная Македония in 32:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteКосово · 51%
Series resultСеверная Македония 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2