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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shinigamiwin 2:0
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Primeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shinigami

No games played over 6 months.

The Prime

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Rusman · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Azur4 · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Varizh · 2 games
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Varizh · 2 games
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Rusman · 2 games
0%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
BARBIE-Usagi · 2 games
0%
Lion
Lion
Varizh · 2 games
0%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Azur4 · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
455 picks · 1011 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
425 picks · 613 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
371 picks · 644 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
356 picks · 668 bans
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
335 picks · 290 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
281 picks · 380 bans
61%
Tusk
Tusk
262 picks · 176 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 169 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Shinigami
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Shinigami
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteShinigami · 54%
Series resultShinigami 2:0
Series predictioncorrect