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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:1
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 22 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Fly · 21 game
71%
Rubick
Rubick
Cr1t- · 21 game
48%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
65%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 20 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Abed · 16 games
69%

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 31 game
74%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
70%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 25 games
84%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 176 bans
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 380 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
221 picks · 394 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
220 picks · 315 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
220 picks · 356 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
219 picks · 440 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
215 picks · 411 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
207 picks · 460 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 51%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total71% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:22
Shopify Rebellion 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaArteezy
59% · 60 games45% · 19 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Kunkka
KunkkaAbed
48% · 23 games42% · 55 games
InvokergpK~
Invoker
Tidehunter
TidehunterSabeRLight-
48% · 69 games46% · 40 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
54% · 47 games48% · 49 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionFly
55% · 17 games53% · 53 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed23:6
Shopify Rebellion 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 32:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaArteezy
43% · 19 games50% · 161 game
PuckgpK~
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierAbed
49% · 226 games43% · 62 games
Phantom LancerNightfall
Phantom Lancer
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
62% · 173 games57% · 86 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Enchantress
EnchantressFly
45% · 128 games47% · 131 game
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCr1t-
46% · 70 games50% · 176 games
Skywrath MageSave-
Skywrath Mage
Game 3prediction missed27:28
Shopify Rebellion 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 52:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinArteezy
39% · 79 games38% · 39 games
Troll WarlordNightfall
Troll Warlord
Lina
LinaAbed
51% · 78 games49% · 149 games
BeastmasterPure~
Beastmaster
Kunkka
KunkkaSabeRLight-
45% · 61 game60% · 53 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Warlock
WarlockFly
60% · 37 games45% · 61 game
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritCr1t-
57% · 61 game61% · 14 games
BaneSave-
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 71%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3