BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 1:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DDuBuloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shopify Rebellion
Vengeful Spirit
Cr1t- · 12 games
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SabeRLight- · 8 games
Enchantressoften banned
Fly · 7 games
Muertasignature
Arteezy · 7 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SabeRLight- · 6 games
Dark Willow
Cr1t- · 6 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Abed · 6 games
DuBu
Bristlebackoften banned
Speeed · 3 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Adzantick · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
DuBu · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
YamSun · 3 games
Pugnaoften banned
DuBu · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
DuBu · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Speeed · 2 games
Dazzleoften banned
Adzantick · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
252 picks · 429 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
220 picks · 352 bans
Centaur Warrunner
206 picks · 278 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 97 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 191 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% DuBu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:15
Shopify Rebellion 63%DuBu 37%
The model gave 63% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 40:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordArteezy
LinaYamSun
Outworld DestroyerYopaj
Lone DruidSpeeed
KunkkaSabeRLight-
Ember SpiritRCY
WeaverThiolicor
PhoenixDuBu
46% · 99 games
TuskMSS
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 73%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1