Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSsifr00loss 0:2
series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Secretwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sifr00
No games played over 6 months.
Team Secret
Pangolieroften banned
Supream^ · 14 games
Tinysignature
Supream^ · 14 games
Bristlebacksignature
MikSa` · 13 games
Chensignature
Puppey · 13 games
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 13 games
Elder Titan
Puppey · 11 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 10 games
Nyx Assassin
Thiolicor · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
524 picks · 590 bans
Jakiro
481 picks · 437 bans
Ringmaster
469 picks · 236 bans
Terrorblade
370 picks · 760 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 512 bans
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 777 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 291 bans
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 68%
Hero pool strength56% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:40
sifr00 9%Team Secret 91%
The model gave 91% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 19:54.
Game 2prediction correct20:34
sifr00 9%Team Secret 91%
The model gave 91% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 23:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 91%
Series resultTeam Secret 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2