BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Solo Team
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 8 games
Abaddon
Melharucos · 5 games
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 5 games
Snapfire
Alberkaaa · 5 games
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 5 games
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 4 games
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
Lion
Melharucos · 4 games
avice Team
Techies
rostikfacekid · 3 games
Dark Willow
ddeni · 2 games
Grimstroke
rostikfacekid · 2 games
Juggernaut
Koma` · 2 games
Arc Warden
avice · 1 game
Baneoften banned
ddeni · 1 game
Broodmother
blindzone · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
blindzone · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
495 picks · 294 bans
Dark Willow
379 picks · 168 bans
Mirana
369 picks · 162 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 489 bans
Centaur Warrunner
309 picks · 307 bans
Winter Wyvern
298 picks · 279 bans
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 481 bans
Undying
270 picks · 366 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:35
Solo Team 57%avice Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Solo Team — the game was taken by avice Team in 32:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeiLTW
IoKoma`
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Queen of Painavice
OmniknightDread
Bristlebackblindzone
Witch DoctorMelharucos
Techiesrostikfacekid
DazzleSolo
Tuskddeni
Game 2prediction missed18:30
Solo Team 58%avice Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Solo Team — the game was taken by avice Team in 31:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassiniLTW
BroodmotherKoma`
BeastmasterDread
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
Outworld DestroyerAlberkaaa
Storm Spiritavice
Nature's ProphetSolo
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
AbaddonMelharucos
Hoodwinkddeni
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 62%
Series resultavice Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2