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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Solo Teamloss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
YBN Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Solo Team

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Solo · 1 game
0%
Broodmother
Broodmother
ssnovv1 · 1 game
100%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Solo · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
FrostNova · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
ssnovv1 · 1 game
0%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Solo · 1 game
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Lukawa · 1 game
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Stariy bog · 1 game
100%

YBN Team

Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
EARTHQ · 3 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknight
Limitless · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Groom · 3 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
EARTHQ · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
390 picks · 352 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
346 picks · 175 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
343 picks · 863 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
296 picks · 345 bans
54%
Warlock
Warlock
284 picks · 127 bans
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
281 picks · 796 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
281 picks · 248 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
274 picks · 685 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:27
Solo Team 46%YBN Team 54%
The model gave 54% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 35:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterssnovv1
45% · 180 games58% · 55 games
Lunazvёzd
Luna
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageStariy bog
29% · 3 games48% · 63 games
Alchemistybicanoooobov
Alchemist
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderSolo
little data45% · 129 games
Dark SeerGroom
Dark Seer
Snapfire
SnapfireFrostNova
50% · 82 games57% · 165 games
Shadow Shamangood_mma
Shadow Shaman
Jakiro
JakiroLukawa
54% · 174 games44% · 27 games
GrimstrokeEARTHQ
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct17:55
Solo Team 44%YBN Team 56%
The model gave 56% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 31:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectressnovv1
45% · 12 games60% · 39 games
Broodmotherzvёzd
Broodmother
Magnus
MagnusStariy bog
55% · 136 games47% · 106 games
KunkkaGroom
Kunkka
Dazzle
DazzleSolo
45% · 62 games56% · 141 game
Sand Kingybicanoooobov
Sand King
Tusk
TuskFrostNova
46% · 284 games55% · 194 games
Nature's ProphetEARTHQ
Nature's Prophet
Disruptor
DisruptorLukawa
46% · 128 games46% · 142 games
Silencergood_mma
Silencer
Game 3prediction correct28:55
Solo Team 45%YBN Team 55%
The model gave 55% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 38:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerssnovv1
46% · 58 games57% · 20 games
Faceless Voidzvёzd
Faceless Void
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightStariy bog
49% · 142 games46% · 55 games
AxeGroom
Axe
Phoenix
PhoenixSolo
50% · 124 games53% · 57 games
Windrangerybicanoooobov
Windranger
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerFrostNova
66% · 9 games49% · 140 games
SnapfireEARTHQ
Snapfire
Lion
LionLukawa
49% · 37 games53% · 98 games
Silencergood_mma
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 56%
Series resultYBN Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3