Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stariy_bog Teamloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LenS Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stariy_bog Team
No games played over 6 months.
LenS Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
631 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 343 bans
Pangolier
442 picks · 644 bans
Phoenix
428 picks · 498 bans
Tiny
399 picks · 353 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 494 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
Puck
316 picks · 972 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Stariy_bog Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Stariy_bog Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:38
Stariy_bog Team 51%LenS Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Stariy_bog Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 29:38.
Game 2prediction missed36:26
Stariy_bog Team 51%LenS Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Stariy_bog Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 36:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteStariy_bog Team · 51%
Series resultLenS Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2