BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stariy_bog Teamloss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YBN Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stariy_bog Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
good_mma · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
EARTHQ · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Death Prophet
Limitless · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
473 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 500 bans
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Stariy_bog Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:44
Stariy_bog Team 47%YBN Team 53%
The model gave 53% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 37:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendStariy bog
Wraith Kingnesfeer
Terrorblade4IVAN
Sand KingLimitless
Night Stalkerkrylat
Magnusybicanoooobov
Winter WyvernFlexSlut
WindrangerEARTHQ
46% · 34 games
Zeusgood_mma
Game 2prediction correct25:53
Stariy_bog Team 47%YBN Team 53%
The model gave 53% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusStariy bog
Wraith Kingnesfeer
Weaver4IVAN
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
Enigmakrylat
SlardarLimitless
LionFlexSlut
Dark WillowEARTHQ
44% · 38 games
Silencergood_mma
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 56%
Series resultYBN Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2