BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Dark Willow
lowkez · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Vovapain · 4 games
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Rubick
lowkez · 4 games
Slardaroften banned
Stray · 4 games
Tusk
Vovapain · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
Vovapain · 4 games
LenS Team
Abaddonoften banned
Егор · 1 game
Bane
ddeni · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Егор · 1 game
Disruptoroften banned
ddeni · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
LenS · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 1 game
Juggernaut
dizzying · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
LenS · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
766 picks · 359 bans
Disruptor
595 picks · 616 bans
Hoodwink
555 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
458 picks · 522 bans
Tusk
450 picks · 268 bans
Mars
445 picks · 730 bans
Puck
438 picks · 1158 bans
Jakiro
427 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength60% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:40
Stray Team 65%LenS Team 35%
The model gave 65% on Stray Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 30:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistRetsu
Weaverdizzying
LycanDkFogas
SlardarLenS
EarthshakerStray
VenomancerЕгор
Ancient ApparitionVovapain
Bounty Hunterddeni
Nyx AssassinGoodoq
WarlockАртур Бабич
Game 2prediction correct31:16
Stray Team 66%LenS Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 29:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaRetsu
Troll Warlorddizzying
Dark SeerDkFogas
SpectreLenS
WeaverStray
Death ProphetЕгор
Spirit BreakerGoodoq
JakiroАртур Бабич
DisruptorVovapain
Clockwerkddeni
Game 3prediction correct42:43
Stray Team 66%LenS Team 34%
The model gave 66% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 1:10:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinRetsu
Marcidizzying
TidehunterStray
Skywrath MageLenS
JakiroVovapain
Sand KingЕгор
Legion CommanderDkFogas
Bounty Hunterddeni
Shadow ShamanGoodoq
DazzleАртур Бабич
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 78%
Series resultStray Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3