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BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lowkez · 3 games
67%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Retsu · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
lowkez · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
33%
Silencer
Silencer
Vovapain · 3 games
100%
Slardar
Slardar
Stray · 3 games
100%
Weaver
Weaver
Retsu · 3 games
100%

YBN Team

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
100%
Lion
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
100%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
good_mma · 2 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
100%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 581 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
493 picks · 442 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
465 picks · 232 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
360 picks · 728 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
327 picks · 751 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
325 picks · 508 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
315 picks · 272 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 70%
Hero pool strength53% YBN Team
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total66% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:30
Stray Team 43%YBN Team 57%
The model gave 57% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 34:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorRetsu
47% · 50 games50% · 38 games
Chaos Knightnesfeer
Chaos Knight
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainStray
51% · 46 games50% · 22 games
VenomancerLimitless
Venomancer
Visage
VisageDkFogas
51% · 39 games47% · 190 games
Phoenixybicanoooobov
Phoenix
Oracle
OracleVovapain
46% · 29 games74% · 14 games
Spirit BreakerEARTHQ
Spirit Breaker
Tusk
Tusklowkez
54% · 128 games43% · 28 games
Disruptorgood_mma
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed20:8
Stray Team 41%YBN Team 59%
The model gave 59% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 23:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDkFogas
50% · 222 games43% · 240 games
PangolierLimitless
Pangolier
Muerta
MuertaRetsu
52% · 228 gameslittle data
Phantom Lancernesfeer
Phantom Lancer
Viper
ViperStray
55% · 21 game52% · 107 games
Tidehunterybicanoooobov
Tidehunter
Techies
Techieslowkez
47% · 18 games51% · 76 games
Shadow Shamangood_mma
Shadow Shaman
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorVovapain
58% · 23 games50% · 89 games
RingmasterEARTHQ
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 66%
Series resultStray Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2