BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
T1win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
T1
No games played over 6 months.
Polaris Esports
Lionsignature
cml · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Force · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Force · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 10 games
Banesignature
cml · 9 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 9 games
Mirana
Boomy · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 384 bans
Queen of Pain
460 picks · 560 bans
Mars
446 picks · 632 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 819 bans
Snapfire
359 picks · 180 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 564 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 535 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 328 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 86%
Hero pool strength59% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% T1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteT1 · 52%
Series resultT1 2:0
Series predictioncorrect