Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Rubick
Q · 30 games
Silencersignature
Oli · 30 games
Tinysignature
Q · 27 games
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 25 games
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 24 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 23 games
Tusk
Q · 22 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 20 games
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 50 games
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
Rubick
Antares · 45 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 40 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 38 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 36 games
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 33 games
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 27 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
636 picks · 684 bans
Rubick
499 picks · 321 bans
Batrider
435 picks · 913 bans
Doom
418 picks · 901 bans
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 838 bans
Spirit Breaker
384 picks · 390 bans
Storm Spirit
372 picks · 854 bans
Beastmaster
370 picks · 960 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Talon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total59% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Talon Esports 41%9Pandas 59%
The model gave 59% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Talon Esports 41%9Pandas 59%
The model gave 59% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 59%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2