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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Akashi · 20 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
CHYuan · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ws · 13 games
69%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Ponyo · 13 games
62%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
CHYuan · 11 games
64%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
CHYuan · 10 games
90%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 10 games
70%

Blacklist International

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
457 picks · 729 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
426 picks · 686 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
422 picks · 338 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
409 picks · 535 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
407 picks · 355 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
406 picks · 891 bans
56%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
386 picks · 174 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
383 picks · 184 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 63%
Hero pool strength59% Talon Esports
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total56% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:28
Talon Esports 56%Blacklist International 44%
The model gave 56% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 43:17.
Game 2prediction missed16:36
Talon Esports 56%Blacklist International 44%
The model gave 56% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 48:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 56%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2