BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO5
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 3:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Fnaticloss 0:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Talon Esports
Tusk
Q · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
Mikoto · 14 games
Rubicksignature
Q · 14 games
Marcioften banned
Q · 12 games
Enchantressoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
Undyingoften banned
Hyde · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 10 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
kpii · 9 games
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
605 picks · 393 bans
Tusk
539 picks · 520 bans
Tiny
529 picks · 431 bans
Treant Protector
418 picks · 499 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 371 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 188 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 762 bans
Clockwerk
311 picks · 206 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total61% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:30
Talon Esports 61%Fnatic 39%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 41:09.
Game 2prediction correct25:4
Talon Esports 61%Fnatic 39%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 16:24.
Game 3prediction correct32:5
Talon Esports 61%Fnatic 39%
The model gave 61% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 23:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 61%
Series resultTalon Esports 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3