Elite League. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTATeam Azrealloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Brightwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Azreal
No games played over 6 months.
Team Bright
Magnusoften banned
Irving · 9 games
Tidehuntersignature
Irving · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Irving · 6 games
Ember Spiritsignature
ButterflyEffect · 6 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
RedPanda · 6 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Undyne_ · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
phoenix · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
Ulu · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 342 bans
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 320 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 478 bans
Mars
299 picks · 409 bans
Techies
284 picks · 199 bans
Hoodwink
276 picks · 155 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 407 bans
Batrider
270 picks · 479 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Team Bright
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Team Bright
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Azreal 24%Team Bright 76%
The model gave 76% on Team Bright — the game was taken by Team Bright.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Azreal 24%Team Bright 76%
The model gave 76% on Team Bright — the game was taken by Team Bright.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bright · 76%
Series resultTeam Bright 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2