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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Bald Rebornloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Into The Breachwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Bald Reborn

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Pablo · 5 games
40%
Io
Iooften banned
Eixn · 5 games
40%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pablo · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rajjix · 5 games
40%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Excalibur · 5 games
20%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Gorgc · 4 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Rajjix · 4 games
100%

Into The Breach

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Era · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Bor@nija · 6 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Charlie · 5 games
80%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Bor@nija · 5 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Era · 5 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Era · 5 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 263 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
377 picks · 495 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
357 picks · 503 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 486 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
281 picks · 488 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
265 picks · 410 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
261 picks · 177 bans
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
249 picks · 298 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 25%
Hero pool strength57% Into The Breach
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total62% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:38
Team Bald Reborn 62%Into The Breach 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 1:09:17.
Game 2prediction missed32:32
Team Bald Reborn 62%Into The Breach 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 50:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 62%
Series resultInto The Breach 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2