Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DDwin 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Scccloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DD
No games played over 6 months.
Team Sccc
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
464 picks · 455 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 567 bans
Ringmaster
324 picks · 148 bans
Phantom Assassin
285 picks · 590 bans
Terrorblade
278 picks · 513 bans
Muerta
271 picks · 151 bans
Bristleback
270 picks · 490 bans
Beastmaster
269 picks · 565 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team DD
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team DD
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:10
Team DD 61%Team Sccc 39%
The model gave 61% on Team DD — the game was taken by Team DD in 33:48.
Game 2prediction correct15:28
Team DD 61%Team Sccc 39%
The model gave 61% on Team DD — the game was taken by Team DD in 32:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DD · 61%
Series resultTeam DD 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2