Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team DYloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Maybewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team DY
No games played over 6 months.
Team Maybe
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 550 bans
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 681 bans
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 463 bans
Ancient Apparition
299 picks · 694 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 246 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% Team DY
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Team Maybe
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:43
Team DY 31%Team Maybe 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 30:51.
Game 2prediction correct37:44
Team DY 31%Team Maybe 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Maybe — the game was taken by Team Maybe in 49:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Maybe · 69%
Series resultTeam Maybe 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2