Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empireloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
cybercatswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Marsoften banned
DkFogas · 19 games
Tiny
xannii · 19 games
Clockwerk
[T]SA · 18 games
Bane
633 · 16 games
Grimstroke
[T]SA · 14 games
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 14 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 10 games
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 15 games
Grimstroke
Hduo · 13 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 11 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 10 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 10 games
Bane
Hduo · 9 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 9 games
Jakirosignature
Hduo · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
505 picks · 439 bans
Mars
477 picks · 701 bans
Bane
440 picks · 295 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 536 bans
Storm Spirit
377 picks · 603 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 604 bans
Sand King
353 picks · 518 bans
Keeper of the Light
345 picks · 759 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% cybercats
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Empire 31%cybercats 69%
The model gave 69% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Empire 31%cybercats 69%
The model gave 69% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 69%
Series resultcybercats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2