Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Empirewin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mind Gamesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Empire
Bane
Kaori · 26 games
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 21 game
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 17 games
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 16 games
Disruptor
Kaori · 15 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Lorenof · 14 games
Linaoften banned
Shisui · 13 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Shisui · 13 games
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 366 bans
Queen of Pain
475 picks · 575 bans
Mars
443 picks · 598 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 725 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 542 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 166 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Team Empire
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Empire · 60%
Series resultTeam Empire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect