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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 30 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 28 games
79%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Sneyking · 25 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 23 games
57%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 22 games
77%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 19 games
74%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 18 games
72%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 16 games
81%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 29 games
45%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 25 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
777 picks · 354 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 596 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
562 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
466 picks · 539 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
464 picks · 275 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
463 picks · 283 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
452 picks · 738 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
432 picks · 1124 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 45%
Hero pool strength62% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:8
Team Falcons 76%OG 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 33:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonSkiter
58% · 244 games50% · 156 games
Shadow FiendYopaj
Shadow Fiend
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
54% · 325 games42% · 108 games
Troll WarlordNatsumi
Troll Warlord
Pangolier
PangolierATF
49% · 333 games48% · 325 games
Centaur WarrunnerForce
Centaur Warrunner
Pugna
PugnaSneyking
47% · 207 games53% · 273 games
ClockwerkTims
Clockwerk
Ringmaster
RingmasterCr1t-
52% · 270 games47% · 517 games
JakiroSkem
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 88%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1