?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO5
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 3:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Team Liquidloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 23 games
83%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 18 games
89%
Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 16 games
81%

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
73%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 12 games
83%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 541 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
345 picks · 297 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
330 picks · 293 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
292 picks · 420 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
291 picks · 399 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
275 picks · 474 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
268 picks · 744 bans
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
267 picks · 655 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 59%
Hero pool strength55% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total54% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:17
Team Falcons 49%Team Liquid 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
55% · 83 games46% · 47 games
MarcimiCKe
Marci
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
50% · 101 game47% · 103 games
Death ProphetNisha
Death Prophet
Mars
MarsATF
50% · 87 games52% · 99 games
Enigma33
Enigma
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
64% · 99 games42% · 62 games
IoBoxi
Io
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCr1t-
49% · 75 games42% · 134 games
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct28:32
Team Falcons 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 47:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
58% · 79 games48% · 94 games
LunamiCKe
Luna
Puck
PuckMalr1ne
49% · 144 games46% · 109 games
Void SpiritNisha
Void Spirit
Mars
MarsATF
55% · 143 games45% · 120 games
Tidehunter33
Tidehunter
Mirana
MiranaSneyking
57% · 86 games47% · 142 games
LionBoxi
Lion
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonCr1t-
54% · 158 games42% · 145 games
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Vengeful Spirit
Game 3prediction missed34:7
Team Falcons 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 37:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterSkiter
53% · 81 game49% · 95 games
LunamiCKe
Luna
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMalr1ne
45% · 150 games45% · 90 games
Tidehunter33
Tidehunter
Kunkka
KunkkaATF
51% · 111 games59% · 158 games
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
41% · 122 games58% · 93 games
MiranaBoxi
Mirana
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
51% · 104 games48% · 132 games
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 54%
Series resultTeam Falcons 3:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3