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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Spiritloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 49 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 29 games
72%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 29 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 25 games
52%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 24 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 23 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 22 games
77%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 21 game
81%

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 24 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 20 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 20 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mira · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 455 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
321 picks · 274 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 425 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 551 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
257 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 66%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total52% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:11
Team Falcons 50%Team Spirit 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 43:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
RazorMalr1ne
43% · 156 games55% · 20 games
Drow RangerSatanic
Drow Ranger
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
49% · 202 games50% · 129 games
BeastmasterMalik
Beastmaster
Mars
MarsATF
47% · 245 games46% · 317 games
PangolierLarl
Pangolier
Lion
LionCr1t-
49% · 185 games63% · 101 game
Elder TitanMiposhka
Elder Titan
Omniknight
OmniknightSneyking
52% · 53 games51% · 274 games
Hoodwinkrue
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct13:33
Team Falcons 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 39:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetMalr1ne
48% · 143 games48% · 103 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightSkiter
49% · 120 games52% · 291 game
Primal BeastMalik
Primal Beast
Pangolier
PangolierATF
51% · 371 game47% · 142 games
InvokerLarl
Invoker
Muerta
MuertaCr1t-
48% · 138 games47% · 263 games
Dark Willowrue
Dark Willow
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSneyking
56% · 270 games54% · 243 games
ClockwerkMiposhka
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2