FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTGTeam Gaoda123loss 0:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Trustwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Gaoda123
No games played over 6 months.
Team Trust
Enigmaoften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Tz. · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Phoenix
Tz. · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 663 bans
Clockwerk
423 picks · 496 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 544 bans
Dark Willow
359 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
332 picks · 352 bans
Luna
329 picks · 434 bans
Enchantress
312 picks · 601 bans
Invoker
310 picks · 846 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Team Gaoda123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Team Gaoda123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Gaoda123 66%Team Trust 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Gaoda123 — the game was taken by Team Trust.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Gaoda123 · 66%
Series resultTeam Trust 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1