Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
B8 Esports
Grimstrokesignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 15 games
Earthshakersignature
Dendi · 14 games
Shadow Shamansignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 14 games
Night Stalkersignature
StoneBank · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 11 games
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 10 games
Slardarsignature
StoneBank · 10 games
Chensignature
Mary_y · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 369 bans
Dark Willow
237 picks · 113 bans
Treant Protector
215 picks · 482 bans
Muerta
210 picks · 316 bans
Phoenix
206 picks · 297 bans
Nature's Prophet
194 picks · 404 bans
Pangolier
186 picks · 350 bans
Vengeful Spirit
185 picks · 153 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 64%
Hero pool strength62% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:21
Team Klee 56%B8 Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Klee — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 22:45.
Game 2prediction missed21:36
Team Klee 56%B8 Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Klee — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 35:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 56%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2