ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Natus Vincere Junior
Vengeful Spiritsignature
pma · 13 games
Batrideroften banned
Daze · 11 games
Techiesoften banned
Daze · 10 games
Magnus
pma · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
toshiyb · 9 games
Void Spirit
Ri4man · 9 games
Doomoften banned
pma · 8 games
Shadow Demon
Daze · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
215 picks · 270 bans
Pangolier
180 picks · 375 bans
Grimstroke
175 picks · 157 bans
Sven
169 picks · 247 bans
Earthshaker
166 picks · 164 bans
Dark Willow
164 picks · 69 bans
Earth Spirit
150 picks · 235 bans
Phoenix
146 picks · 185 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Team Klee
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:28
Team Klee 51%Natus Vincere Junior 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 27:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 51%
Series resultTeam Klee 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1