Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionTKTeam KNGI SAloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SDSIN DPC!!!win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team KNGI SA
No games played over 6 months.
SIN DPC!!!
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
768 picks · 502 bans
Tiny
545 picks · 384 bans
Tusk
539 picks · 435 bans
Treant Protector
534 picks · 581 bans
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 645 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 277 bans
Death Prophet
383 picks · 701 bans
Ember Spirit
359 picks · 778 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team KNGI SA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% SIN DPC!!!
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:41
Team KNGI SA 49%SIN DPC!!! 51%
The model gave 51% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 36:19.
Game 2prediction correct40:39
Team KNGI SA 49%SIN DPC!!! 51%
The model gave 51% on SIN DPC!!! — the game was taken by SIN DPC!!! in 1:03:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteSIN DPC!!! · 51%
Series resultSIN DPC!!! 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2