FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kukuyswin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Kukuys
Marci
Palos · 7 games
Miranaoften banned
Palos · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jing · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Palos · 4 games
Tuskoften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Natsumi · 3 games
Dark Willow
Jing · 3 games
Lone Druidoften banned
Palos · 3 games
Myth Avenue Gaming
Morphlingoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 1 game
Underlord
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
482 picks · 659 bans
Clockwerk
432 picks · 506 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 551 bans
Dark Willow
365 picks · 188 bans
Batrider
336 picks · 362 bans
Luna
324 picks · 432 bans
Invoker
314 picks · 873 bans
Dragon Knight
311 picks · 614 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength63% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:15
Team Kukuys 62%Myth Avenue Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 29:27.
Game 2prediction missed32:13
Team Kukuys 62%Myth Avenue Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 25:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 62%
Series resultTeam Kukuys 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2