?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 33 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 25 games
68%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 24 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 24 games
67%
Io
Iosignature
Boxi · 23 games
83%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
77%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%

9Pandas

Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 49 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 39 games
59%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 35 games
54%
Techies
Techies
Antares · 35 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 30 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 29 games
79%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 27 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 185 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 417 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
249 picks · 426 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
233 picks · 372 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
233 picks · 379 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
232 picks · 185 bans
49%
Morphling
Morphling
227 picks · 423 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
222 picks · 429 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total75% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:30
Team Liquid 61%9Pandas 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 35:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinmiCKe
47% · 51 game43% · 25 games
AlchemistRAMZES666
Alchemist
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
43% · 54 games55% · 85 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerzai
51% · 77 games55% · 48 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBoxi
41% · 71 game46% · 101 game
DoomAntares
Doom
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
54% · 69 games60% · 63 games
WarlockSolo
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed21:23
Team Liquid 66%9Pandas 34%
The model gave 66% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocoptermiCKe
57% · 36 games35% · 39 games
BloodseekerRAMZES666
Bloodseeker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
46% · 67 games55% · 17 games
Lone Druidkiyotaka
Lone Druid
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerzai
53% · 55 games55% · 115 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Io
IoiNSaNiA
53% · 52 games48% · 53 games
Vengeful SpiritAntares
Vengeful Spirit
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeBoxi
50% · 42 games52% · 28 games
WarlockSolo
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 75%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2