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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 36 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 26 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 26 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 24 games
79%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
78%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
iNSaNiA · 23 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
68%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
miCKe · 21 game
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
68%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 30 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 28 games
68%
Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
70%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 22 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
639 picks · 689 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
510 picks · 332 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
453 picks · 975 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
411 picks · 930 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
399 picks · 861 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 352 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
384 picks · 1003 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
381 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:24
Team Liquid 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
SnapfireNisha
44% · 181 game58% · 96 games
GyrocopterNightfall
Gyrocopter
Slark
SlarkmiCKe
52% · 119 games53% · 236 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Enigma
Enigmazai
53% · 140 games44% · 300 games
EnchantressPure~
Enchantress
Tiny
TinyBoxi
45% · 265 games54% · 163 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Silencer
SilenceriNSaNiA
42% · 158 games57% · 68 games
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed12:47
Team Liquid 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangermiCKe
42% · 93 games53% · 111 games
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNisha
53% · 252 games47% · 360 games
SnapfiregpK~
Snapfire
Tidehunter
Tidehunterzai
52% · 171 game43% · 60 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Silencer
SilenceriNSaNiA
52% · 293 games57% · 330 games
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
Batrider
Tusk
TuskBoxi
51% · 260 games46% · 208 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2