PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 30 games
Rubick
Boxi · 30 games
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 24 games
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 23 games
Doomsignature
33 · 23 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 21 game
Batridersignature
Boxi · 20 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 215 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
420 picks · 738 bans
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
397 picks · 164 bans
Gyrocopter
391 picks · 346 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 771 bans
Mars
340 picks · 564 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:21
Team Liquid 65%G2 Invictus Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 55:07.
Game 2prediction missed22:27
Team Liquid 65%G2 Invictus Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 1:06:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 65%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2