?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 21 game
43%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 21 game
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 20 games
60%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 20 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 19 games
74%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
iNSaNiA · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 18 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 17 games
71%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
352 picks · 318 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 466 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 464 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
303 picks · 179 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 585 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
271 picks · 332 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 442 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
250 picks · 357 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head7 – 5
Model total51% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:7
Team Liquid 50%Gaimin Gladiators 50%
The model gave 50% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 23:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusamiCKe
44% · 148 games50% · 251 game
LunaWatson
Luna
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
46% · 125 games48% · 289 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
52% · 308 games62% · 145 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Pugna
PugnaBoxi
49% · 169 games55% · 214 games
Crystal MaidenSeleri
Crystal Maiden
Tusk
TuskiNSaNiA
44% · 266 games48% · 117 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Game 2prediction missed27:9
Team Liquid 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 24:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendmiCKe
47% · 78 games56% · 104 games
AlchemistWatson
Alchemist
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
45% · 84 games57% · 105 games
Monkey KingQuinn
Monkey King
Pangolier
PangolierSabeRLight-
43% · 321 game60% · 44 games
BloodseekerAce
Bloodseeker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinBoxi
52% · 83 games50% · 205 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiiNSaNiA
53% · 16 games49% · 124 games
LiontOfu
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 51%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2