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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 10 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
78%

LGD Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 8 games
75%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
shiro · 7 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 7 games
43%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 565 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
330 picks · 284 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 272 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
287 picks · 461 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
285 picks · 413 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
281 picks · 460 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
278 picks · 782 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:33
Team Liquid 56%LGD Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 48:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkmiCKe
56% · 65 games53% · 55 games
Weavershiro
Weaver
Timbersaw
Timbersaw33
45% · 137 games49% · 177 games
Queen of PainSetsu
Queen of Pain
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
50% · 233 games52% · 192 games
Marsniu
Mars
Enchantress
EnchantressiNSaNiA
54% · 164 games46% · 86 games
Marciy`
Marci
Techies
TechiesBoxi
49% · 154 games48% · 243 games
LionPyw
Lion
Game 2prediction correct29:19
Team Liquid 55%LGD Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 34:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenNisha
61% · 21 game48% · 182 games
Faceless Voidshiro
Faceless Void
Morphling
MorphlingmiCKe
47% · 221 game52% · 158 games
Keeper of the LightSetsu
Keeper of the Light
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight33
58% · 100 games52% · 148 games
Marsniu
Mars
Batrider
BatrideriNSaNiA
44% · 313 games46% · 318 games
TechiesPyw
Techies
Lion
LionBoxi
47% · 172 games59% · 21 game
Witch Doctory`
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2