Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Monaspaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Tusksignature
Boxi · 30 games
Rubicksignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Snapfiresignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Tinysignature
Boxi · 20 games
Enigmasignature
zai · 18 games
Undyingsignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
Pangoliersignature
miCKe · 16 games
Treant Protectorsignature
iNSaNiA · 16 games
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
831 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
600 picks · 413 bans
Treant Protector
519 picks · 540 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 419 bans
Nature's Prophet
489 picks · 798 bans
Death Prophet
439 picks · 921 bans
Snapfire
436 picks · 306 bans
Clockwerk
388 picks · 287 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 56%
Hero pool strength63% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:17
Team Liquid 91%Monaspa 9%
The model gave 91% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:58.
Game 2prediction correct38:16
Team Liquid 91%Monaspa 9%
The model gave 91% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 40:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 91%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2