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BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:1
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MOUZwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tusk
Tusk
Boxi · 30 games
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Boxi · 28 games
46%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nisha · 27 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 20 games
45%
Kez
Kezoften banned
miCKe · 19 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 17 games
76%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Boxi · 17 games
53%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 66 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 52 games
56%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 47 games
55%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 45 games
64%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 40 games
63%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 34 games
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 34 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 33 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
601 picks · 936 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
535 picks · 430 bans
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
492 picks · 645 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 654 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 949 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 650 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
390 picks · 529 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
378 picks · 233 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% MOUZ
Head-to-head3 – 4
Model total64% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:32
Team Liquid 57%MOUZ 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by MOUZ in 33:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracmiCKe
46% · 191 game52% · 173 games
UnderlordCrystallis
Underlord
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
53% · 229 games51% · 297 games
BatriderBOOM
Batrider
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNisha
53% · 477 games42% · 301 game
Queen of PainMidOne
Queen of Pain
Mirana
MiranatOfu
61% · 63 games53% · 502 games
Tinyyamich
Tiny
Tusk
TuskBoxi
44% · 519 games47% · 206 games
PugnaSeleri
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 64%
Series resultMOUZ 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1