Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 39 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 27 games
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 25 games
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 24 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 24 games
Undyingoften banned
iNSaNiA · 24 games
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
Talon Esports
Rubick
Q · 30 games
Silencersignature
Oli · 30 games
Tinysignature
Q · 27 games
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 25 games
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 24 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 23 games
Tusk
Q · 22 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
631 picks · 681 bans
Rubick
481 picks · 307 bans
Batrider
434 picks · 902 bans
Doom
404 picks · 881 bans
Ember Spirit
392 picks · 823 bans
Spirit Breaker
384 picks · 390 bans
Pugna
363 picks · 426 bans
Beastmaster
358 picks · 942 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total69% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Liquid 69%Talon Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Liquid 69%Talon Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 69%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2