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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Secretloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 33 games
76%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 24 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
81%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
80%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
zai · 19 games
79%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
miCKe · 18 games
67%

Team Secret

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 11 games
73%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
yamich · 11 games
45%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
yamich · 11 games
36%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Armel · 10 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
Puppey · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
yamich · 9 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Armel · 8 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
754 picks · 627 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
610 picks · 536 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
540 picks · 1331 bans
58%
Doom
Doom
540 picks · 1068 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
464 picks · 960 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1169 bans
49%
Techies
Techies
462 picks · 496 bans
56%
Enchantress
Enchantress
444 picks · 637 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total58% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:28
Team Liquid 55%Team Secret 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Secret in 37:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorblademiCKe
48% · 333 games59% · 111 games
MedusaCrystallis
Medusa
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
51% · 202 games50% · 270 games
BeastmasterFbz
Beastmaster
Magnus
Magnuszai
44% · 191 game55% · 311 games
TinyArmel
Tiny
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterBoxi
51% · 70 games52% · 202 games
Undyingyamich
Undying
Silencer
SilenceriNSaNiA
46% · 310 games45% · 212 games
DisruptorPuppey
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct35:12
Team Liquid 54%Team Secret 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawNisha
49% · 191 game48% · 190 games
Monkey KingCrystallis
Monkey King
Void Spirit
Void SpiritmiCKe
53% · 220 games59% · 233 games
PangolierArmel
Pangolier
Phoenix
PhoenixiNSaNiA
38% · 114 games52% · 137 games
MagnusFbz
Magnus
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernzai
48% · 110 games54% · 68 games
BanePuppey
Bane
Windranger
WindrangerBoxi
45% · 125 games52% · 132 games
Skywrath Mageyamich
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2