ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 1:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DOGSENTloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 14 games
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 13 games
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 12 games
Slardaroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 12 games
Sand King
mellojul · 11 games
Pucksignature
mellojul · 10 games
Timbersawsignature
mellojul · 10 games
DOGSENT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
547 picks · 739 bans
Tusk
488 picks · 350 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
438 picks · 540 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 548 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 157 bans
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:11
Team Lynx 82%DOGSENT 18%
The model gave 82% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 28:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 82%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1