BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 1:0series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 21 game
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
Sand King
mellojul · 20 games
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 16 games
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 16 games
Ursasignature
7jesu · 15 games
Nigma Galaxy
Hoodwink
OmaR · 25 games
Jakirooften banned
GH · 25 games
Dazzleoften banned
GH · 22 games
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 21 game
Void Spirit
SumaiL · 21 game
Muerta
SumaiL · 18 games
Marsoften banned
No!ob · 17 games
Puckoften banned
SumaiL · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1139 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 686 bans
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed52:55
Team Lynx 33%Nigma Galaxy 67%
The model gave 67% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 1:19:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 67%
Series resultTeam Lynx 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1