EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Lynxwin 2:1series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Spirit Academyloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Lynx
Dark Willow
QBFY · 29 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 27 games
Phoenixsignature
kreker · 26 games
Underlordoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
Rubick
QBFY · 23 games
Techies
kreker · 23 games
Pangolieroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
Tidehunteroften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 17 games
Team Spirit Academy
Grimstrokesignature
Aidar · 20 games
Dark Willow
Aidar · 14 games
Largosignature
kae · 13 games
Kunkka
86 · 12 games
Batridersignature
86 · 10 games
Lion
Aidar · 9 games
Baneoften banned
kyford · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
kae · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
482 picks · 330 bans
Bane
343 picks · 457 bans
Clockwerk
332 picks · 508 bans
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 502 bans
Shadow Fiend
310 picks · 638 bans
Tiny
283 picks · 312 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 193 bans
Rubick
257 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% Team Lynx
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total78% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 78%
Series resultTeam Lynx 2:1
Series predictioncorrect