i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team MagMaloss 1:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Elephantwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
411 picks · 190 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
296 picks · 602 bans
Puck
283 picks · 621 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 360 bans
Mars
280 picks · 469 bans
Winter Wyvern
268 picks · 239 bans
Lina
249 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Team MagMa
Head-to-head0 – 5
Model total71% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:15
Team MagMa 29%Elephant 71%
The model gave 71% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 27:37.
Game 2prediction correct27:50
Team MagMa 29%Elephant 71%
The model gave 71% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 52:02.
Game 3prediction correct35:11
Team MagMa 29%Elephant 71%
The model gave 71% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 41:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 71%
Series resultElephant 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3