DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTMTeam Mantapsloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BBruv123win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Mantaps
No games played over 6 months.
Bruv123
Nature's Prophetoften banned
423 · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Se · 6 games
Chenoften banned
Se · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
seimei · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 6 games
Doomoften banned
seimei · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
seimei · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
329 picks · 274 bans
Rubick
328 picks · 311 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 456 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
Windranger
302 picks · 411 bans
Dragon Knight
296 picks · 462 bans
Enchantress
290 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Bruv123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Bruv123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:20
Team Mantaps 37%Bruv123 63%
The model gave 63% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123 in 25:59.
Game 2prediction correct6:34
Team Mantaps 37%Bruv123 63%
The model gave 63% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123 in 27:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteBruv123 · 63%
Series resultBruv123 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2