Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesiswin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Red Hot Chili Pibbleloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Nemesis
Tinysignature
Mac · 22 games
Slardaroften banned
Jabz · 18 games
Windranger
Q · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 17 games
Tusk
Jhocam · 17 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
23savage · 15 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jhocam · 15 games
Red Hot Chili Pibble
Disruptor
Prada · 3 games
Rubick
Alone · 3 games
Snapfireoften banned
Alone · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Bane
Prada · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 1 game
Hoodwink
Mjz · 1 game
Luna
Mnz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
600 picks · 366 bans
Phoenix
490 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
487 picks · 262 bans
Tiny
455 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
403 picks · 553 bans
Puck
338 picks · 913 bans
Beastmaster
334 picks · 845 bans
Tusk
324 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Nemesis 74%Red Hot Chili Pibble 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Nemesis 74%Red Hot Chili Pibble 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by Team Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 74%
Series resultTeam Nemesis 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2