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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Nemesisloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
REKONIXwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Nemesis

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Raven · 14 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Mac · 11 games
45%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Akashi · 11 games
45%
Pugna
Pugna
NARMAN · 9 games
56%
Sand King
Sand King
Mac · 9 games
44%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 8 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Ponyo · 7 games
29%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Akashi · 7 games
14%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptor
Varizh · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 7 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 6 games
67%
Silencer
Silencersignature
Varizh · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
566 picks · 642 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
503 picks · 329 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
492 picks · 684 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
461 picks · 171 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 526 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
430 picks · 206 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
392 picks · 528 bans
49%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
368 picks · 499 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total52% Team Nemesis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:28
Team Nemesis 50%REKONIX 50%
The model gave 50% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by REKONIX in 1:00:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassin23savage
51% · 225 games48% · 387 games
GyrocopterTraVins
Gyrocopter
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMac
55% · 299 games47% · 217 games
TimbersawFbz
Timbersaw
Bristleback
BristlebackRaven
56% · 273 games47% · 63 games
ViperinYourdreaM
Viper
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageJhocam
51% · 81 game47% · 254 games
Muertadalul
Muerta
Jakiro
JakiroJaunuel
50% · 374 games47% · 331 game
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed7:35
Team Nemesis 52%REKONIX 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Nemesis — the game was taken by REKONIX in 31:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey King23savage
54% · 310 games48% · 317 games
GyrocopterTraVins
Gyrocopter
Huskar
HuskarMac
59% · 92 games46% · 290 games
Queen of PaininYourdreaM
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarRaven
53% · 272 games50% · 170 games
Dark SeerFbz
Dark Seer
Tusk
TuskJhocam
53% · 483 games45% · 351 game
Tinydalul
Tiny
Phoenix
PhoenixJaunuel
50% · 237 games43% · 266 games
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Nemesis · 52%
Series resultREKONIX 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2