BLAST Slam VIII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resiliencewin 1:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
CCrescentloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Resilience
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 14 games
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 11 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 10 games
Puckoften banned
Echo · 9 games
Rubick
pLAnet · 9 games
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 8 games
Crescent
Clockwerkoften banned
出省 · 1 game
Dark Willow
冷鸟 · 1 game
Earthshaker
Kry · 1 game
Hoodwink
冷鸟 · 1 game
Juggernaut
MangO · 1 game
Linaoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Kry · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Kry · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
495 picks · 334 bans
Bane
346 picks · 470 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 515 bans
Clockwerk
335 picks · 489 bans
Shadow Fiend
311 picks · 646 bans
Tiny
282 picks · 305 bans
Windranger
267 picks · 190 bans
Undying
266 picks · 338 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Team Resilience
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Resilience 92%Crescent 8%
The model gave 92% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Team Resilience.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Resilience · 92%
Series resultTeam Resilience 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1