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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resilienceloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 11 games
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 9 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
78%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 8 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
pLAnet · 7 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 7 games
71%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 7 games
57%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 27 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 21 game
57%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 17 games
65%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 13 games
69%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 12 games
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Thiolicor · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
513 picks · 355 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
360 picks · 636 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
353 picks · 410 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 466 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
327 picks · 177 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
316 picks · 348 bans
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
304 picks · 586 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 229 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed62:30
Team Resilience 34%LGD Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 1:05:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Spectre
Spectrepoyoyo
53% · 30 games51% · 178 games
TimbersawWisper
Timbersaw
Earthshaker
EarthshakerEcho
48% · 83 games42% · 159 games
Templar AssassinYuma
Templar Assassin
Largo
Largoniu
52% · 144 games49% · 109 games
Earth SpiritTopson
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkpLAnet
44% · 399 games58% · 83 games
GrimstrokeThiolicor
Grimstroke
Undying
Undyingzzq
54% · 118 games53% · 245 games
BaneKJ
Bane
Game 2prediction correct33:54
Team Resilience 36%LGD Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:16:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
44% · 49 games45% · 106 games
SvenYuma
Sven
Puck
PuckEcho
53% · 240 games45% · 291 game
PangolierTopson
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerniu
55% · 258 games50% · 97 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Techies
TechiespLAnet
58% · 85 games54% · 99 games
Winter WyvernKJ
Winter Wyvern
Undying
Undyingzzq
50% · 126 games44% · 165 games
Dark WillowThiolicor
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction correct30:53
Team Resilience 36%LGD Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:11:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangerpoyoyo
47% · 34 games43% · 3 games
BloodseekerYuma
Bloodseeker
Timbersaw
Timbersawniu
45% · 71 game53% · 32 games
MagnusWisper
Magnus
Sand King
Sand KingEcho
54% · 38 games42% · 26 games
ZeusTopson
Zeus
Mirana
MiranapLAnet
61% · 44 games45% · 126 games
Dark WillowThiolicor
Dark Willow
Undying
Undyingzzq
52% · 72 games54% · 72 games
Winter WyvernKJ
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 77%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3