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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Secretwin 1:0
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ONYX Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Secret

Tiny
Tinysignature
Supream^ · 14 games
64%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
MikSa` · 13 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Thiolicor · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 12 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Puppey · 11 games
36%
Chen
Chensignature
Puppey · 10 games
90%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 10 games
70%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Thiolicor · 10 games
50%

ONYX Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
471 picks · 540 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
347 picks · 662 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 680 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
293 picks · 233 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
284 picks · 86 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Secret 94%ONYX Team 6%
The model gave 94% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 94%
Series resultTeam Secret 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1