European Pro League Season 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sexywin 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B1Benz 190Eloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sexy
No games played over 6 months.
Benz 190E
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
387 picks · 376 bans
Tiny
343 picks · 349 bans
Rubick
319 picks · 226 bans
Mirana
277 picks · 280 bans
Crystal Maiden
203 picks · 148 bans
Snapfire
203 picks · 110 bans
Treant Protector
199 picks · 255 bans
Pangolier
190 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Team Sexy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Benz 190E
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Sexy 41%Benz 190E 59%
The model gave 59% on Benz 190E — the game was taken by Team Sexy.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Sexy 41%Benz 190E 59%
The model gave 59% on Benz 190E — the game was taken by Team Sexy.
Model check result
Model favoriteBenz 190E · 59%
Series resultTeam Sexy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2