The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Sin Compromisowin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Estar Backsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Sin Compromiso
No games played over 6 months.
Estar Backs
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Wits · 4 games
Ringmaster
Prada · 4 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 3 games
Enchantress
Prada · 3 games
Magnusoften banned
Leostyle · 3 games
Muerta
Michael · 3 games
Riki
Michael · 3 games
Batrider
Prada · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 531 bans
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 624 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 432 bans
Ancient Apparition
292 picks · 635 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 208 bans
Windranger
276 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Estar Backs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Sin Compromiso
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:5
Team Sin Compromiso 57%Estar Backs 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 17:51.
Game 2prediction correct23:17
Team Sin Compromiso 57%Estar Backs 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Sin Compromiso — the game was taken by Team Sin Compromiso in 25:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Sin Compromiso · 57%
Series resultTeam Sin Compromiso 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2